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Renovating the wheel
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Some statistics are useless. You can put numbers into a
calculator and get numbers out but they don't always
Taking people born on a certain date of the year and
what date of the year they die on the most is one such
useless number. It means nothing.
said, you can still technically say "You're born
on January 13th so statistically you're most likely to die
August 26th so this will be the day to celebrate your
impending death. It will be called your "Death Day".
How do you do it? Probably in Halloween like, black
fashion, a cake shaped like you in a coffin, condolence
What's the point? Maybe get a little reminder that this is
temporary and use the date to be close with loved ones
and friends or make changes to your life. Small ones like
"I'm not going to get angry at people who don't put their
shopping carts back in the parking lot any more." or big
changes like quitting drinking or eating stuff that's bad
you. Or, drinking more, whatever moves you.
This is kind of interesting
According to this I'll die on Tuesday, 25th of May, 2049 at 88 years old. Sounds plausible. [doctorremulac3, Oct 28 2018]
Achilles and the tortoise
One of Xeno's Paradoxes [8th of 7, Oct 28 2018]
||Interesting indeed. That calculator tells me I'm due to due in
3 years and 7 months. On the other hand, if I change the
inputs to be teetotal, never smoked and a perfect BMI, it
gives me about another 3 years.
||Frankly, I see that a vindication.
||I cranked everything to worst case. Drunk constantly, never
without a cigarette, started smoking at 8 years old,
"Suicidal" for attitude and it gave me about 6 months.
||That website seems to assume that living in the UK is fatal,
which is technically true.
||I think I found the secret of immortality here.
||If I'm an obese, suicidal alcoholic Bangladeshi who's been
smoking for 49 years and is currently 112 years old, it gives
me about another year to live.
||But then if I ask how long a similar Bangladeshi, currently
aged 113, has left, it gives me the best part of another
||Clearly, if I iterate this, the cumulative age never
asymptotes, which means I can just keep going indefinitely.
||//"You're born on January 13th so statistically you're most likely to die on August 26th..."// - actually, it's more probable that there isn't a day which is 'statistically' - i.e. statistically significantly - more likely to be the day of your death than other days.
||Should that Death Clock thing take genetics into account? E.g. a question about the ages of your grandparents when they died, if they died of natural causes.
||//actually, it's more probable that there isn't a day
which is 'statistically' - i.e. statistically
||No, there won't be, but just due to the nature of
the calculation, one day might pop up with teeny
tiny percentage point higher probability that
doesn't mean anything.
||Every day has the exact same probability of death
but a calculation won't show that due to the
random nature of the calculation.
||If you take a million people born on April 1st, and
chart their deaths, it will be a scattergram of
number of deaths x day, even though there's an
equal probability those born on that date will die
on any day of the year, the chart won't show that.
One or two days will likely be more than any
others by a few deaths.
||Facts don't necessisarily mean anything.
||Now if you want to throw all sorts of other stuff in
that effects longevity in there, that's different.
This is just dates.
||Unless people tend to die more in winter, which
they might. That would just scew the useless
number towards winter months though. Still
||The point is not to predict the day of death, the
point is to celebrate that day as something that
will happen eventually to contemplate mortality in
a potentially positive perspective with an eye
towards engaging in a change or adjustment that
may be beneficial.
||Incidentally, dealing with life insurance renewals
and stuff, that's why this is on my mind. The day of
my death is something the insurance company
thinks about when placing a bet on when I'm going
to go, which is what life insurance is. I'm betting
I'm going do die within a certain period
of time and they're taking that action.
||So my multi billion dollar insurance companies
really want me to live. Makes you feel kind of
warm and fuzzy inside doesn't it?