h a l f b a k e r yFewer ducks than estimates indicate.
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this would be a a biizzaro version of the s&p500 index, that
would track the poorest performing companies,,currencies
and commodities obviously some effort would have to be
made to find companies that were constantly performing
poorly but had sufficient capital to continue to suffer for a
number
of years. e.g.,. Sears, radio shack (a few years
ago) If
such an index were to be conceived wise brokers could
create
inverse ETFs based on it that would make money as the
companies declined.
Inverse etf of oil
http://www.google.c...ZVIHoB8qejAKiv4CAAw
Example of Inverse ETF of a single commodity [bob, Feb 10 2015]
[link]
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So, basically ETFs that sold short? |
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Um, inverse index funds are widely known to exist.
However, no one is able to consistently pick winners
or losers. |
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For every large company that does a long slow slide,
there are as many that figure out how to turn it
around. |
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Cassandra could not get anyone to listen to her, but if she were alive today she could just get fabulously weathly in the market. I am trying to think of a scenario where future events of some sort at varying temporal distances could be predicted with pinpoint accuracy, but with no possible way to profit at all. |
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I reason that at any time, there are as many obvious
losers as there are obvious winners, it follows that
you
should take advantage of both insights. |
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I know some companies turn things around, thats the
very reason Im suggesting a "500"style rather than
betting against a single entity in such a situation it
wouldn't matter if one or two of the losers were on a
verge of a comeback so long as the aggregate were
losing.
And of course, as losers turned into winners they
would be removed from the fund and replaced with
new failures. |
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