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"Right" map
Society is extremely complicated. Most people understand an extremely small section of total societal knowledge Even an average IQ person shall struggle to start a business. Let's change that. I want more lifestyle businesses to start and success to be more evenly distributed. I think life is hard. There is social norm and there is law and human behaviour. Most business fails unless you do something right, the problem is that you sometimes never find out what is right and you fail without the answer to what would hast been successful. I propose every company is studied for fundamentals that all companies exhibit and maps are created to guide toward success. |
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(+3)
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If you do everything right, how can you fail?
The basis for decisions can change within a day or week as
decades go on in days or weeks. So we need some logical
framework for assertions and attestations. We can use
computers to create logical maps of what is guaranteed
success.
If something
doesn't succeed then something wasn't right.
Surely the cleverest people can create maps that always
apply? Why does that restaurant fail but a restaurant chain
is successful regardless?
apropos of [xen] vs. [dr3]
https://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/nigh-2
[pertinax, Apr 21 2026]
Proud that I can always admit when I'm wrong.
https://berkeleytypewriter.com/
[doctorremulac3, Apr 21 2026]
In case there's anybody else who didn't know what a lute was.
https://www.youtube.../shorts/CzU2fCmKkwQ
Damn! These things are beautiful! I'm gonna get one! [doctorremulac3, Apr 22 2026]
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//I want more lifestyle businesses// That is where you are going wrong. Lifestyle businesses are a parasite and a pox on the world. |
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The map you need shows energy flows and entropy, since every system in the universe follows the paths on that map. The key to navigating the map is the study of Human evolution and evolved behaviour and capabilities. |
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// The map you need shows energy flows and entropy// So all I have to do to run a successful business is use a lot of energy? Whodathunkit |
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Yes on average that's about right. |
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Well, the first rule of entrepreneurship is to break all
of the established rules. |
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Yes, but survivorship bias. |
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// the first rule of entrepreneurship is to break all of the established rules.// So to start a business I need to sit outside the business-place of my would-be customers eating fruit loops and muttering obscenities. I should also waste all the money I can, advertise to the carp in a nearby lake using sonar, not actually buy anything to sell, and commit fraud. |
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//Surely the cleverest people can create maps that always apply// |
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Nope. It's not that they haven't tried. The nearest you can get is maps that are frequently amended as mistakes are encountered and acknowledged. The biggest obstacle to this process is "No, that wasn't really a mistake, my map always applies, it was someone else's fault!" {Insert my usual remarks about dialectical reasoning.} |
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Already bunned this and like the idea, but I'd say there's a lot of guidance out there, some good, some not so good, but it's a game ininit? |
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The thing that map would have to consider is that the landscape is always changing so that map's gonna have change too. For instance, if somebody creates a really great electrical typewriter design in 1977, the year the Apple II, PET and TRS-80 came out, that old success map's paths are no longer applicable. |
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And boy do we see that today. In my youth I started and owned a recording studio, if I told you the artists that recorded there you wouldn't believe me but I've got a wall full of gold and platinum albums. Today? AI is making music that's not only replacing the recording engineer, but the friggin' artist. AI sings and plays all the instruments. This can allow creative tools to be used by more people, but the old map is definitely very different. |
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As far as other jobs affected by this new tech I'd say low level computer coding is a really bad career path right now. As far is 1977 typewriter style jobs that are just replaced by AI I'd say the commercial graphic artist is dead. A car company want's a new ad for its new sports car AI's gonna create that basically for free. |
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I'd also not want to be an actor at this point but who knows? The human element thing might still be there but I'm not going to care about a particular actor playing a part any more than I'd get offended by a cartoon character telling stories. Nobody ever said "Hey! Bugs Bunny isn't real!" |
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//commercial graphic artist is dead// I have extended contacts within the creative arts, especially in Dublin, and the businesses there have never been busier. No one wants AI slop. They want real people with analogue skills making physical work, and they pay big amounts to get it. The illustrators, photographers, model makers and other creatives I collaborate with are swamped with work (as am I for my creative workshops which are 100% screen technology free) The outcomes are European industry award winning, which means they are the best in the world. Use of ai is easily and quickly spotted, then dismissed as lazy slop. |
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AI technology is months old, but okay. I'm glad your industry is doing well. |
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It's also not a hard one or the other. Modern tools can merge to assist the creative industries. Looking it up I'm seeing that there's been a 20% drop in job openings in that industry, AI having replaced them but it's AI saying that so, dunno. |
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Anyway, didn't mean to trigger you, hope you continue to do well. Don't wanna start a flame war here, the HB's been very pleasant the last few months. Wanna keep it that way. |
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By the way, should say what the other side of the AI factor is regarding entertainment, the arts, etc. Stuff where the human element is a factor is not at risk. Nobody's gonna watch a football game played by robots and watching actual humans play actual instruments has never been so popular and the talent people are showing is incredible. You can get a million views if you play a musical piece brilliantly, back in my day to get a million views I had to be on dozens or hundreds of radio stations and live in a tour bus for months. |
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Art with a human factor will survive as it always has. There's been many times in history that new technology made tectonic shifts to for instance the music industry but music not only survived but thrived. (said this before but bears repeating) |
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1- Music was a guy on a street corner playing a loot or whatever (whatever the hell a loot is) Monetized by people dropping coins in a basket. |
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2- Artists begin writing music so multiple instruments can play the various part of one song. These group performers can charge money for concerts. |
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3- That same written music can be sold to people to play that music in their homes or to put their own live concerts together. |
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4- Some pesky American invents the record player and wrecks the whole music industry, now you can just buy the music once and never have to pay for a live show again. |
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5- Which leads to the music industry being called "the record industry" because music explodes in populatiry. |
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6- Then another pesky American, Nicolai Tesla, invented and patented radio technology. Now the record industry was REALLY dead. You didn't even have to pay for music, just turn the radio on and listen for free. |
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7- Which led to people hearing a song on the radio, going out and buying the album and going to a live show of the band. The record industry exploded the music industry to previously unheard of levels of popularity. |
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8- But there was a sidestep technology, American DARPA created ARPANET that an English bloke said "Hey, maybe we do some non WW3 stuff with this." which led to the world wide web. |
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9- Which led to another pesky American who invented musical streaming. Now artists get a third of a penny for their music. |
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The last did have an impact, but live shows, if the artist can use these new high tech tools to build an audience have never been so profitable. Tickets to a rock / pop concert can go for thousands of dollars. |
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So technology changes the monetization certainly but the love of human art remains and has endured. Art is the human connection factor. |
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By the way, when I was a kid, while other kids were going to school I made my living as a draftsman with pencils, erasers, straight edges etc. Then I got a TRS-80 (which I called a "trash 80") and was one of the first computer draftsmen to be at the forefront of making a pretty hard to learn skill obsolete. Drafting required knowing how to letter perfectly, you'd use different hardnesses of graphite, sand it to get the right shape and it had to be perfect. Years later I found an old drawing of mine of a building and showed it to my girlfriend at the time and she said "No way you drew that, that's a professional artist." and I showed here the name and my signature on the information box. I remember bringing a roll of blueprints to the city and county planning offices / building departments and the guy behind the counter would say "Who made this?" and that young kid (me) would say "I did, with a computer." and I remember the guy calling the other guys in the department saying "Hey, check out this drawing, it was made by a computer!" to which I was like "Uhh, well, sort of." Anyway I put a lot of work into that skill and ironically was at the forefront of eliminating the need for it. |
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Pert, obviously you didn't read my evaluation about how products with human connection will still be with us, nobody's watching robots play football for instance and creative art from humans has never had a more accessible pipeline to other humans. But a car company needs an illustration of a hubcap, some percentage of the time they're using AI and getting it done in 60 seconds for free. AI is also very very very new, it's evolving, to ignore that is, well, go for it. |
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But anything can be made dramatic and confrontational I guess. I live where we create all this technology the knuckle draggers go into drama mode about. We just do it, move the whole of civilization into the future and move on. Here in Silicon Valley we created the transistor, integrated circuit, microprocessor, hard drive, computer mouse, graphic user interface, personal computer, internet routing / networking, search engine, object oriented programming, online payment systems, videoconferencing, generative AI etc. We just do it, don't care if the proles yell "IT'S A WITCH!". I can honestly say our culture here, which includes the best and the brightest from all over the planet, Asia, India, Europe, South America the Middle East, consider outsiders to be kind of backwards and stupid. Not me, but just saying, that's the culture here. It's not even pro American, some of the immigrants here hate most of America, but think Silicon Valley is the only civilized place on Earth, which is why they came here. If you're number one in your class in computer science at Mumbai University, this is the only place you're coming to. |
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But hey, you think it's smart to not adjust doing things to incorporate new technologies, go for it. Hell, open a typewriter repair company, might actually be a pretty relaxing business. |
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Okay, I'm always proud to be able to admit when I'm wrong. |
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I've linked an actual typewriter repair shop. |
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Now I'm not saying if you walk in and say "Got any IBM Typeomatic special ink?" and make a cocaine sniffing gesture and wink they'll tell you to hold on and go into the back room and come out with an envelope, but that wouldn't be a bad cover. |
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Joking, sure that's not the case, it's actually kind of cool. |
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That's a whole lot of good & interesting words there, [doctorremulac3]. |
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Well, a whole lot of words anyway. |
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It’s a coffee thing, I get typing over coffee in the morning and after about five minutes I look at that massive pile of words and I’m like “Do I really wanna post all this blathering? Eh, what the hell.” Click. |
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Wait ... I don't think I contradicted any of that. |
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[doc] I have a friend who makes good money sitting on street corners playing a loot <sp. lute>. |
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Thank you Pert, I probably worded that wrong, I was criticizing the cartoon. My apologies. |
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Poc, wow! A professional lute player, very cool. Makes loot playing the lute. |
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Put up a link. These things are beautiful! |
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Do the posts being read the most move closer to the front of the idea lists? I kind of assume so. |
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